The odds of failing vs the odds of succeeding

Gym
It was cold yesterday as i began the 13-mile bike ride to the gym. But it was the heavy rain that caused my retreat and ultimately i drove a car. It would have been much easier to cancel yesterday’s workout. It’s 30 degrees as i type this january 4, 2018.

 

The odds of people sticking to their New Year resolution is roughly 1 in 10.

The odds of someone starting a business and making it sustainable is less than 1 in 10.

Here’s what this reveals:

  1. Accept that it’s going to be challenging and the odds of failure are astronomical.
  2. The people who “make it” are rewarded, over time, with enough lucky breaks to tip the scale.
  3. Longevity and desire is the recipe for lucky breaks.
  4. Remember that things turn out better or worse than you dream.
  5. When it’s worse, it’s only temporary.
  6. Quitting never leads to lucky breaks.

Sorry, wish it was more complicated than that.

Go.

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This feeds on itself

iPhone weather app screen shot
Some people still wait for the TV weather person for the forecast. Others find out in seconds.

 

Most people have no idea how much their disorganization is slowly destroying their spirit.

Being unorganized feeds on itself.

It can never get better, and in fact can only get worse, if we never get better.

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The first sentence is very telling

Disney Institute blog post
Yesterday on Facebook.

 

If the above statistic is accurate and 70% actually fail, i’d like to offer an expert observation that is going to suggest a much higher percentage for cultural transformation.

It’s more like 99% that fail.

The difference in numbers is easy.

Organizational change is one thing.

Cultural transformation is entirely another.

A small percentage of people take up running, and stay with it for a few years.

An even smaller percentage take up running and run until they die.

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Big, epic failures are great catalysts

YuGiOh Tournament
Last weekend at YuGiOh Tournament. He inspired, and inspires, the prolific writing.

 

So yeah, it’s pretty insane.

And to be clear from a business perspective, this blog is unrelated to my speaking mission.

But seriously then, why blog so prolifically?

Well, i began blogging on April Fools Day 2009 as a 100-day self-imposed writer’s boot camp.

Driven by the realization that a book i had promised to write 30 years prior hadn’t had it’s first sentence written yet.

Ouch.

Big time.

Epic ouch.

The catalyst was driven by a fatherly desire to leave a trail for our son (then 8) in case something bad ever happened to me.

Shhh, here’s an epic secret. Prolific writing makes me a significantly different (and better, imho) speaker.

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